Notation of parts of Bayes’s Theorem

The symbol \(P\) to denote probability is a bit overloaded. To help aid in notation, we will use the following conventions going forward in the class.

  • Probability densities describing measured data are denoted with \(f\).

  • Probability densities describing parameter values, hypotheses, or other non-measured quantities, are denoted with \(g\).

  • A set of parameters for a given model are denoted \(\theta\).

So, if we were to write down Bayes’s theorem for a parameter estimation problem, it would be

\[\begin{aligned} g(\theta \mid y) = \frac{f(y\mid \theta)\,g(\theta)}{f(y)}. \end{aligned}\]

Probabilities written with a \(g\) denote the prior or posterior, and those with an \(f\) denote the likelihood or evidence.